State of the Media

State of the Media

I am an equal opportunity consumer of news. I have digital subscriptions for the Dallas Morning News, New York Times, Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal.  Paper copies of the DMN and the WSJ are dropped for the same price.  I receive all of the U.S., U.K. and Canadian cable news channels, and also many overseas English language and original language channels via IPTV.  Not that I read and watch all of this stuff, but it’s available if and when I want it.

To be truly informed in the currently divided political environment in the country, I believe one need to really pay attention to the source and orientation of the news.  It is no longer possible (maybe it never was), to turn on regular broadcast channels at 6 pm and 11 pm, or cable news reports, and get balanced news.  What we get instead are partisan commercials masquerading as news.  This is particularly true of the leftist oriented news media which is now preponderant.

There are bias checkers which purport to define the political orientation of any media outlet.  The problem is that many of these “bias checkers” are themselves slanted politically, so they can lead you down their desired path, and not necessarily a neutral path.  I’ve done a fair bit of research to determine which bias and fact checkers are indeed neutral.   Although my conclusions are s subjective, I think they are as good as any honest seeker of neutrality will find.

I Have been using “Media Bias Fact Checking” to rank all media as “Right”, “Left” or “Balanced”, with good results.   I use “Snopes” and “FactCheck.org” to check the veracity of “news statements”, but take both of these latter with a grain of salt.  Using these guides, I pretty much stay away from the aggressively right or left media like Alex Jones or Breitbart on the right, and Huffington Post or The New Yorker magazine on the left.  I try to use the balanced outlets like Reuters, USA Today or AP.  When I read publications that are biased, like the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal or National Review; or watch CNN or MSNBC or Fox News, I know their orientation and use their reports accordingly.

It is a sad pass that one cannot watch a major news outlet or read a major newspaper without being led down a biased path, these days preponderantly a leftist path.  I have conservative/libertarian leanings, so my progressive friends will say that my own comments are therefore biased in that direction.  I take pains for them not to be biased, and I have to say that while most left leaning media are strictly one-sided and will not give the other side a break, the more right leaning media seems fairer, giving a more equitable representation to the opposing side.

To test this, all one has to do is watch a few hours of mid-day news coverage on Fox News, CNN and MSNBC.  Fox will frequently show the liberal point of view on an issue and will frequently criticize right wing leaders.  CNN and MSNBC rarely, if ever show the conservative point of view and will only rarely criticize left wing leaders.  A similar test is to read the National Review, an acknowledged conservative publication, but one that regularly shows the opposing view and also regularly criticizes conservative leaders and positions.  Then read the New York Times and Washington Post, where you’ll find much more biased, and strictly pro-left coverage.  Their opinion pages/columnists are strongly leftist, but their front page coverage is not too far behind.

The harm of all of this is that most users of the media, particularly our youth, do not vet the news sources as I’ve outlined above.  They cannot help being exposed and affected by the constant barrage of what amounts to pro-left propaganda posing as news.  The result is a whole class of citizens, many educated in left-leaning schools, and now liberally exposed to an interminable list of leftist media.  Is it any wonder that a coastal and urban elitist class has emerged in the country?

Ray Gruszecki

November 21, 2017

Trump Economy, Durability

Trump Economy, Durability

As I have stated on many occasions, I am not a big fan of Donald Trump, the man and his peccadillos.  However, I’m positively stunned by his personality based brand of American populism and nationalism because it has resulted in such direct, “in your face” changes to the progressive nanny state model based on identity politics promulgated by the previous administration and by his democrat “resistance” opposition.

The main reasons that I sometimes come across as an apologist for Trump is primarily because of the absolutely biased and distorted media coverage against him, and secondarily, it’s the economy, stupid.  The MSM fuels the antagonistic feelings and hatred against Trump and his administration and feeds the unhealthy divisions in the country.  All you need to do is turn on CNN or MSNBC for a few segments, or read the front pages and opinion pages of the New York Times and Washington Post to experience this bias directly.  ABC, CBS and NBC are equally leftist oriented. Magazines like “Time”, “Newsweek” and the “New Yorker” add fuel to the fire with long dissertations on how Trump should be removed.

Trump is certainly nowhere near an ideal leader, but common sense dictates that he is not the unmitigated pariah that much of the MSM paints him.  Trump could hold the cure for cancer in one hand and lasting world peace in the other hand, and he still would be reviled by the hate driven “never Trumpers” and their MSM minions.

Notwithstanding the bantering and sometimes inane tweets and occasional “mal mots” emanating from Trump, one cannot fault what has happened to the economy since his election.  The stock markets are at record highs.  The Dow Jones index has risen by over 18%.  Unemployment hovers just above 4%, the lowest in 10 years.  GDP growth has been over 3% for two quarters, even with three major hurricanes hitting the country in the third quarter of 2017.

The democrat opposition and the “never Trumpers” best keep these numbers in mind when they talk about impeachment or even about swiftly voting Trump out.  “It’s the economy, stupid” was coined by James Carville during the 1992 Bill Clinton campaign. The phrase pertains equally well in 2017 or 2020 or 2024.  So called “social justice” issues like removing confederate statues and gender bathroom rules pale by comparison to a vibrant and burgeoning economy.  This is particularly true in those 85% of American counties that voted for Trump in the last election, low approval ratings from the east and west coast notwithstanding

And the democrat “resistance” and “never Trumpers” seem to have run the course in their efforts to remove Trump, who is a duly elected president, from office.  In summary:

11.)    As soon as Trump was sworn in, the plaintiffs in Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington instituted a law suit against Trump alleging that he has violated the Foreign Emoluments Clause.  But the evidence is that the Foreign Emoluments Clause was never meant to apply to the president, and the consequence is that the plaintiffs’ case is basically a non-starter, notwithstanding the Trump organization’s hotel a block from the capitol.

22.)    The democrats equally quickly made allegations that Trump broke the law by colluding with the Russians during his campaign. In nearly a year of accusations and six months of investigations by special prosecutor Mueller, there has been no proof of any direct Trump collusion with the Russians.  In fact Mueller’s investigation has now turned toward the Clinton’s collusion with Russia in a pay-for-play scheme involving sale of uranium to Russia’s Putin, and the Hillary Clinton campaign’s collusion with the Russians concerning a discredited anti-Trump dossier.

33.)    Volumes have been written in the left wing press about accusing Trump of an inability to govern because of his implied volatility and other character traits and applying the 25^th amendment against him.  Various scenarios have been presented on the mechanics of such a move.  From what I’ve read, this would require initial action by a loyal vice president and cabinet, followed by a 2/3 vote in both houses.  Obviously, this is not a very likely possibility, particularly since Trump seems to be a picture of physical and mental health, even though he has that massive personality.

44.)    Other volumes have been written in the MSM about impeachment and leftist wishful  thinking with this aim.  It behooves his detractors to remember that a sitting U.S. president has never been removed from office by being impeached.  Chances for Trump’s removal by legal or congressional action seem pretty distant as long as there are republican majorities in both houses, even though there have been spats within the republican party. Remember that although both Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were impeached by the house, they were later acquitted by the senate. Richard Nixon might have been impeached and removed from office, but he quit first. It is obvious that impeachment is not an easy road.

55.)    Another dream of the left is voting him out.  Of course the democrats’ goal in 2018 is to gain hegemony in both houses of congress, making moves against Trump easier. The democrats have little chance of accomplishing this so long they lack a cohesive platform, proper leadership and insist on the shop worn identity politics like political correctness and gender issues that caused their 2016 defeats in the first place. Also measured predictions for 2018 and 2020 do not really give the democrats very much of a chance of prevailing in either house of congress.  Trump’s unexpected campaign performance and win in 2016 belies chances of defeating him in 2020, particularly if the economy continues to perform well under his brand of pro-business with fewer restrictions

So we’re stuck with Trump for the balance of four years, and most likely for a total of eight years. No level of rhetoric or gnashing of teeth will change that. This is sort of like the Clinton years and the Obama years were for republicans.

It would be productive and conducive to better government if the democrats developed a rational platform, elected opposition members of congress who participate in government rather than obstruct, and provide a valid counter to Trump and his minions and his sometimes destructive populism. To an admittedly mild conservative/libertarian, increasingly strident, and nearly seditious rhetoric, curtailing speech at our colleges and hooded, black-shirted rioting in the streets are not going to do the democrats, or the country very much good. A return to some modicum of more polite and rational discourse is necessary to do that.

Ray Gruszecki

October 31, 2017

Baltic States and Russia - Commentary on the Countries Visited

Baltic States and Russia - Commentary on the Countries Visited

Many informed Americans tend to lump the small Baltic countries Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia together as a unit in the northern Baltic.  The three countries indeed share some historical background, but they are, in fact, quite distinct.  Their origins are from pagan Baltic tribes. They were late converts to Christianity and a “northern crusade” was waged against them by European Christians.  The Lithuanian and Latvian languages have Indo-European roots, whilst the Estonian language has Finnic-Uralic roots. 

Lithuania is the most southern, and most populous of the three countries with about 2.9 million people, including 5% Russians who are Lithuanian citizens.  It is still over 70% Roman Catholic, the heritage of its long affiliation with very catholic Poland.  Few know that the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth was the largest and most populous nation in Europe for over 200 years (1569-1795).  Take note that this nearly as long as our own U.S. has been an independent nation. 

Historically, there has been strong German influence in the area from early control by the Teutonic Knights, membership in the Hanseatic League and proximity/overlap with East Prussia.  Past Russian influence has also been strong beginning with the partition of Poland/Lithuania in 1772-95, and later continuing with incorporation into the Soviet Union after a brief period of independence in the early 20^th century.  Like its neighbors Latvia and Estonia, Lithuania has been independent since the early 1990’s, is a member of the European Union and NATO and uses the euro as its currency.  All three Baltic States are bordered by Russia and Belarus, and are fearful of re-absorption by Russia, particularly in view of Putin’s recent actions in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine, the relative military weakness of Europe in NATO and recent U.S. posturing concerning the efficacy of NATO.

Latvia shares some history with Lithuania vis-à-vis past German and Russian influence. Latvia’s population is about 2 million, with over 300,000, mostly Russians and Belorussian non-citizens living in the country.  Latvia was part of the Livonian Order, and offshoot of the Teutonic Knights, which was protestant and not allied with catholic Poland like Lithuania.  Riga was a major Baltic port and figured prominently in the Hanseatic League.

Estonia has a Danish and Swedish background, and although it shares some history with the other Baltic States, particularly as regards Russia, Estonia is even now more Scandinavian than the other two Baltic states.  The population of Estonia is about 1.3 million.  Citizenship is offered to all Russian and other foreign nationals who pass a proper test and pledge fealty to Estonia.

A note on energy in the Baltics.  Lithuania had a nuclear power plant similar to Chernobyl, which they spent millions of dollars to make safe, but which they had to de-commission to be admitted into the European Union. (Primarily at the insistence of Germany). So they went from cheap power from nuclear energy to expensive power from natural gas energy from Russia.  Currently they get some LNG supplies from Norway and Sweden, and even some from the U.S., to mitigate Russia’s monopolistic practices.

Health care in Estonia and the other Baltic States is “free”.  University education (at state universities) is “free”.  Three months maternity (and/or paternity) leave is provided.  Many other social amenities are provided by the government, i.e. cradle to grave care for everyone.  In return, tax rates are about 70% of income (55% direct income withholding, and 15% value added tax on virtually everything purchased).  A typical average professional salary is about 3000 euros per month.  Tax is 2100 euros and net take home is 900 euros per month.  The system works fine if everyone, (or nearly everyone) works and contributes to the system.  Where it starts to break down is non-workers and non-contributors hitting the system, which is happening more and more with non-productive migrants from the Middle East.

Tomes have been written about Russia and where it now sits in our geo-political spectrum.  Many Americans still view Russia as a dark and evil communist empire.  In truth the Russian Federation obtained its independence from the old Soviet Union in the early 1990’s, just like many other former Soviet republics. It has retained its military and nuclear capabilities and hence is a major world power, but nowhere near as powerful as what the USSR once was.

Russia currently is a “semi presidential federation”, which means a president is popularly elected and exists alongside a prime minister and a cabinet, with the latter two being responsible to the legislature. It differs from a parliamentary republic in that it has a popularly elected head of state, who is more than a purely ceremonial figurehead. Modern France is another example of a semi presidential system. Vladimir Putin is the directly elected President or Chief of State of Russia since 2012. He is a member of the United Russia party, which he started, with 63.6% of the vote.  Dmitry Medvedev, also a member of the United Russia party, is Prime Minister or head of government with a Duma vote of 299 to 144.

Americans look upon Putin as a dictator, but although he has polished popular powers while in office, he is a duly elected president.  The Russian people love him and feel that he has become a great international mediator in Syria, Ukraine and other areas. He has an 83% approval rating among the Russian people.

In a university lecture to our group, a Russian political analyst insisted that Russia did not interfere in the 2016 U.S. elections to any extent.  He basically said what the Trump government has been saying all along – that Russia may have hacked some poorly protected servers, but Russia did not affect the outcome of the U.S. elections.

Travelling in Russia and visiting St Petersburg and Moscow leaves one with the impression that other than the Cyrillic script, one could as well be in Berlin or Paris or London.  Exceptional is the unequalled beauty of St Petersburg, which is unique unto itself.  The people in Western Russia are friendly and helpful, and fashion conscious.  Technology is modern, with many ads and LED signs.  WIFI is fast and many times “free”, although a VPN is a personal recommendation  During our impromptu visit to an average Russian family, topics were sports (European style), family, earning a living, etc.  They mentioned that they would like to visit the U.S. but currently cannot because of our economic sanctions against Russia.  Competition is evident with many different brand gasoline stations and other commodities.  Cars of all makes fill the streets and roads, and are largely assembled under license from Toyota, Nissan, Skoda, Citroen, Ford, Chevy et al, in Russia. 

Russian TV and news media is diverse, with comedies, soap operas, news broadcasts and many ads and commercials.

Russia, and also the Baltic States are suffering from a “brain drain”. Educational standards are high and so is cost of living. Young people are well educated and multi-lingual. Incomes are low relative to the rest of Europe, so there is serious emigration to Germany and other EU countries..

All in all, Western Russia is very European in nature, and as mentioned above, I could have just as easily been in Germany or France or Poland or Spain save for the difference in alphabets.

Ray Gruszecki

September 19, 2017

Essay on Trump, Main Stream Media et al

Essay on Trump, Main Stream Media et al

Our president Trump is about as controversial a figure as we have ever had as president. Andrew Jackson and Teddy Roosevelt come to mind, but these men were from different eras and completely different political mind sets than Trump.

It is not easy to like and support Donald Trump, and all of the so called liberal left, and some of his own republican party actually hate and resent him and his uncouth reality show personality. He tweets relentlessly, sometimes bizarrely, and seemingly spontaneously without any consultation with his advisors. He lies and bends the truth to suit his overblown ego, or so it seems to critical observers. But to be entirely honest, the “resistance” hates him primarily because he won the election and essentially ended the hegemony of the Clinton-Obama clique.

In his five months in office, to the consternation of the political left, he has undone much of the nanny state, political correctness and identity politics which were a hallmark of previous administrations, and replaced them with a populist American exceptionalism bordering on isolationism. This was relatively easy to do, since many of the defining edicts were originally executive orders never brought before the legislature and codified as laws.

In spite of the hatred against him, and Trump’s own propensity to “shoot himself in the foot”, the administration has had measurable successes. The business world and the stock markets seemingly like him while still espousing some doubt publicly. Unemployment is approaching a decades-long low 4 percent. The stock market indices are at record highs. Jobs are coming back to the country, including to impoverished areas, in substantial numbers. Illegal immigration is down significantly. A new supreme court judge has been appointed. Travel restrictions from failed countries has been upheld by the supreme court after adverse political decisions in the district courts. Trump has had two successful trips overseas, where he has not only held his own, but took charge of pertinent issues. His speeches in Saudi Arabia and Poland were critical successes.  So was his UN speech yesterday, “Rocket Man” notwithstanding.

One would not know, or would only know peripherally about the administration’s successes enumerated above, if one watched and read only the main stream media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, New York Times, Washington Post, others). There would be massive coverage in these MSM venues of Trump’s peccadilloes and apparent failures, including some manufactured and retracted ones. There would also be derogatory items and innuendos about Trump’s wife and young son, his adult children and families and his associates; and volumes of coverage on supposed and unproven collusion between the Trump candidacy and Russia.

One would get a reasonably accurate overall story if one read Reuters, USA Today or Pew Research reports.  Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, the National Review would give a more positive, but still critical treatment of Trump’s and the administration’s activities.

It is a sad pass when one has to “rate” or “grade” media outlets when reading or watching the news. Once reputable newspapers and broadcasters have become perverted, primarily by elitist left wing politics.  What is “de rigueur” in Coastal New York or California falls on deaf ears in large swaths of the U.S.  Not to absolve the other side, alt-right outlets are equally egregious in perverting the news, so we have “fake news” from both sides vying for public attention.

The American public is not stupid and certainly sees the bias in our media. Not many “rate” the media as I have above, but they are certainly aware when they are being sold a bill of goods whether by CNN or the NYT, or by the “alt-righters”.

Time and results will tell. If and when the country continues to attain some degree of integrity and real prosperity under Trump, it will become time to change, and to become a kinder, gentler America again, hopefully, this time, with real governance and without all of the past’s nanny state pontifications and equivocations.

Ray Gruszecki

July & September, 2017