Monday, July 18, 2022

Friedman versus Keynes

 

Friedman versus Keynes

I am not an economist, but I studied Economics at University in Boston a long time ago.   I pulled out my old textbook and find that My Economics courses were Keynesian economics from a text book by Paul Samuelson who was a professor at MIT across the river in Cambridge at the time.  Even back then, I felt that manipulating the economy through government spending was not right.

This is a quick comparison between Keynesian and Friedman economics.  High inflation, which we are now suffering has nearly always been associated with Keynesian economics. 

Apparently, the people running Washington these days don’t have much more background in economics than I had some 65 years ago.  Probably less, since they want to spend more trillions of dollars in the middle of inflation on the way to a recession.

  

“Keynes and Friedman are the most influential economists of the 20th century.

Keynes vs Friedman

John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) was a British economist and is considered one of the founders of modern macroeconomics. Keynsian economics show that in the short run, especially during recessions, economic output is strongly influenced by total spending in the economy. Keynes' theories were extremely influential from the Great Depression to the oil shocks in the 1970s. Milton Friedman (1912-2006) was an American economist and statistician who led the famous Chicago School of economics at the University of Chicago. Friedman challenged some of the Keynesian theories proposing an alternative macroeconomic policy known as "monetarism" which advices focusing on controlling monetary supply. Friedman's theories have strongly influenced policy contributing to a change of paradigm away from Keynesian economics. Nonetheless, the advent of the recent global financial crisis has led to a resurgence of Keynesian ideas.

Keynesian economics

Main contributions by John Maynard Keynes:

  • Keynes challenged the prevailing paradigm according to which free markets would automatically provide full employment, and underlined the important role of government spending in achieving economic growth.
  • He demonstrated that the aggregated demand (household, business and government spending) is the most important driving force in an economy.
  •  Keynes showed that wages and prices respond slowly to changes in demand and supply
  • Keynes argued that free markets had no self-balancing mechanisms, which justifies government intervention to achieve stability and full employment.
  • Keynes defended expansionary fiscal policy (increases in net public spending) as driver of economic growth and criticized excessive saving.

 

Friedman's monetarism

Milton Friedman's core arguments:

  • Friedman challenged the dominance of Keynesian economics by suggesting money supply and prices are more important for economic prosperity than government spending.
  • Friedman explained the dangers of collectivism and defended the virtues of free-markets and capitalism.
  • For him, the main functions governments should play in the economy would be: controlling the money supply and keeping inflation in check.
  • Friedman warned of the dangers of deflationary spirals in the case central banks are unable to supply enough money during a liquidity cruch.
  • Milton Friedman also opposed the gold standard and his ideas contributed to its replacement. 

It is undeniable that both of these economists have left strong legacies in social science research; their ideas have shaped economic policies for many decades all over the world.”

 Ray Gruszecki
July 18, 2022

No comments:

Post a Comment